{"id":6115,"date":"2026-04-07T21:16:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=6115"},"modified":"2026-04-07T21:17:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:17:10","slug":"gas-prices-could-soon-breach-5-a-gallon-if-strait-of-hormuz-remains-shut-j-p-morgan-analysts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=6115","title":{"rendered":"Gas prices could soon breach $5 a gallon if Strait of Hormuz remains shut, J.P. Morgan analysts say"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/gas-oil-prices-cost-iran-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Gasoline prices<\/a>\u00a0in the U.S., which have risen $1.16 a gallon since the start of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/live-updates\/iran-war-trump-deadline-power-plants-human-chains-israel-train-strikes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Iran war<\/a>\u00a0in February, could top $5 a gallon as soon as later this month if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed through mid-April, according to J.P. Morgan energy analysts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"449\" height=\"245\" src=\"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4.png 449w, https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-300x164.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 449px) 100vw, 449px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Higher prices at the pump could also consume &#8220;much or all&#8221; of the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/gas-prices-iran-war-tax-refunds-stanford\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">larger tax refunds<\/a>&nbsp;many Americans were expected to receive this year because of the Republican-backed tax and spending bill passed in 2025, they note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Every 10\u00a2 rise in the average price of regular gasoline this year would add just over another $12 [billiion] to the annual outlays for gasoline,&#8221; J.P. Morgan said in a note to clients. &#8220;Our U.S. economics team estimates that the recent increase in the gasoline price, if it persists for the rest of this year, should amount to around a $100 [billion] hit to consumers&#8217; purchasing power.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gas prices have surged in the U.S. as the conflict in the Middle East blocks shipments of oil passing through the strategically vital&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/strait-of-hormuz-iran-oil-prices-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a>. As of Tuesday, the average national gas price was $4.14 a gallon, up from $2.98 just before the outbreak of hostilities, according to data from AAA.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Patrick De Haan, a petroleum expert at GasBuddy, agrees that gas prices could surpass $5 a gallon by late April if the situation in the Middle East doesn&#8217;t improve soon.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;New records for both gasoline and diesel are possible, and more likely if the president follows through on his threats to attack Iran\/escalate the situation later today,&#8221; he said in an email to CBS News.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The average national gas price last reached $5 a gallon in 2022, hitting an all-time high of $5.02 after adjusting for inflation in June of that year amid the fiercest inflation in four decades.\u00a0<br><br>Traffic in the strait has edged up, with 21 ships transiting the waterway over the weekend,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-04-06\/hormuz-traffic-rises-to-highest-in-weeks-as-more-transits-agreed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">according<\/a>\u00a0to Bloomberg. However, traffic remains far below where it stood before the war. Ship transits through the channel dropped from roughly 130 per day in February to six in March, a United Nations panel said in a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/unctad.org\/news\/hormuz-disruption-deepens-global-economic-strain-across-trade-prices-and-finance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a>\u00a0on Monday.\u00a0<br><br>On Tuesday, President Trump\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/trump-iran-deal-whole-civilization-will-die\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ramped up his threats<\/a>\u00a0against Iran, writing on Truth Social that &#8220;a whole civilization will die tonight&#8221; if the country doesn&#8217;t reopen the strait by 8 p.m. Eastern time on Tuesday.\u00a0<br><br>Mr. Trump told<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>CBS News White House correspondent Weijia Jiang on Monday that &#8220;we have to have a deal that&#8217;s acceptable to me, and part of that deal is going to be, we want free traffic of oil and everything else.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr. Trump has repeatedly called on other countries to reopen the waterway, noting that the U.S. imports relatively little oil from the Middle East. In a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/donald-trump-transcript-address-iran-war-b5970011fe934dde84d95d650bda56a9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">speech<\/a>\u00a0last week, he said that countries that rely on crude shipments passing through the strait should &#8220;take the lead in protecting the oil that they so desperately depend on,&#8221; according to the Assoicated Press.<br><br><br>Reprinted from CBS<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gasoline prices\u00a0in the U.S., which have risen $1.16 a g [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[4370,5230,4566],"class_list":["post-6115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-usa","tag-could","tag-gallon","tag-prices"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Gas prices could soon breach $5 a gallon if Strait of Hormuz remains shut, J.P. 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