{"id":5050,"date":"2025-02-25T18:09:49","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T02:09:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=5050"},"modified":"2025-02-25T18:10:06","modified_gmt":"2025-02-26T02:10:06","slug":"us-consumer-confidence-dives-posts-biggest-drop-in-3-5-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=5050","title":{"rendered":"US consumer confidence dives, posts biggest drop in 3.5 years"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Tariffs on imports, mass firings of federal workers are some of the issues taking a toll on consumer psyche.<\/em>
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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United States consumer confidence deteriorated at its sharpest pace in 3-1\/2 years in February while 12-month inflation expectations surged, offering further signs that Americans were growing anxious about the potential negative impact on the economy of President Donald Trump\u2019s policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Conference Board survey on Tuesday noted that \u201ccomments on the current administration and its policies dominated the responses\u201d.

It followed on the heels of surveys last week showing steep declines in business and consumer sentiment in February. Tariffs on imports, which Trump has already imposed or is planning to, have been singled out as the major issue in almost every survey of households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economists said unprecedented layoffs of federal government workers were also taking a toll on consumers\u2019 psyche, which they said posed a risk to spending, the main engine of the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAmericans are increasingly pessimistic about the outlook. No Federal government has ever before threatened government workers with mass firings and it is starting to scare the daylights out of consumers,\u201d said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS. \u201cThe economy could well ground to a halt in the first quarter of the year as consumers stay home.\u201d

The Conference Board\u2019s consumer confidence index dropped 7 points, the biggest decline since August 2021, to 98.3 this month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index falling, but only to 102.5. The third straight monthly decrease pushed the index to the lowest level since June 2024. It is now at the bottom of the range that has prevailed since 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere was a sharp increase in the mentions of trade and tariffs, back to a level unseen since 2019,\u201d said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for global indicators at the Conference Board. \u201cMost notably, comments on the current administration and its policies dominated the responses.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Business and consumer sentiment soared following Trump\u2019s November 5 victory on hopes for a less-stringent regulatory environment, tax cuts and low inflation. Trump, a Republican, has during his first month in office slapped an additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports. A 25 percent levy on imports from\u00a0Mexico and Canada<\/a>\u00a0was suspended until March. Trump this month raised\u00a0tariffs on steel and aluminium imports to 25 percent<\/a>.

Mass firings<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports are looming. At the same time, tens of thousands of federal government workers, mostly those on probation, have been fired<\/a> by billionaire Elon Musk\u2019s Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE \u2013 an entity created by Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US stocks fell on the confidence data. The dollar eased against a basket of currencies. US Treasury yields slipped.

Though economists are not yet predicting a recession, they expect a long period of very slow economic growth and high inflation. That would put the Federal Reserve in a difficult spot. The US central bank paused cutting interest rates in January while policymakers monitored the economic impact of the Trump administration\u2019s policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Fed has reduced its benchmark overnight interest rate by 100 basis points since September, when it embarked on its policy easing cycle. It hiked the policy rate by 5.25 percentage points in 2022 and 2023 to tame inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Consumers\u2019 average 12-month inflation expectations jumped to 6 percent, the highest since May 2023, from 5.2 percent in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The survey\u2019s so-called labour market differential, derived from data on respondents\u2019 views on whether jobs are plentiful or hard to get, declined to 17.1 from 19.4 last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This measure correlates to the unemployment rate in the US Department of Labor\u2019s monthly employment report.

Reprinted from Al Jazeera<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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