{"id":4601,"date":"2024-09-10T19:50:37","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T02:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=4601"},"modified":"2024-09-10T20:01:49","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T03:01:49","slug":"how-harris-and-trumps-tax-and-spending-plans-affect-us-debt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=4601","title":{"rendered":"How Harris&#8217; and Trump&#8217;s tax and spending plans affect US debt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>WASHINGTON, Sept 10 (Reuters) &#8211; Vice President&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/kamala-harris\/\">Kamala Harris<\/a>&nbsp;and Republican opponent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/topic\/person\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a>&nbsp;have floated new tax breaks and spending plans, as they try to win votes by persuading Americans their ideas will do more to ease their financial burdens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Budget forecasters are struggling to keep up with the latest tweaks, and new ideas may be voiced in Tuesday&#8217;s Harris-Trump debate, but so far all estimates show Trump&#8217;s agenda piling up much more new federal debt.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"934\" height=\"688\" src=\"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-13.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4602\" srcset=\"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-13.png 934w, https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-13-300x221.png 300w, https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-13-768x566.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 934px) 100vw, 934px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>Trump has said he plans to extend all tax cuts he\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/business\/whats-in-the-final-republican-tax-bill-idUSKBN1ED27K\/\">pushed through Congress<\/a>\u00a0in 2017, exempt Social Security and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/trump-hold-rally-swing-state-nevada-during-heatwave-2024-06-09\/\">tip income<\/a>\u00a0from taxes, and further cut corporate income taxes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These changes would likely add $3.6 trillion to $6.6 trillion to primary U.S. deficits over 10 years, according to published individual and comprehensive estimates from four budget forecasters reviewed by Reuters: the Penn-Wharton Budget Model, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), the Tax Foundation and Oxford Economics.<br><br>Harris&#8217; plans, which include&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/harris-focus-grocery-costs-child-tax-credit-economic-agenda-advisers-say-2024-08-14\/\">expanding the Child Tax Credit<\/a>, a $6,000 bonus tax credit for newborns, a $25,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit, and no taxes on tips, could reduce deficits by as much as $400 billion or add up to $1.4 trillion to deficits over a decade, the same forecasters calculated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The estimates are based on static budget scoring, and are compared against the Congressional Budget Office&#8217;s current-law &#8220;baseline,&#8221; which already assumes a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/cbo-projects-fy-2024-us-deficit-jump-19-trln-amid-higher-outlays-2024-06-18\/\">massive, $22 trillion<\/a>\u00a0increase in debt through 2034.<br>The forecasts vary considerably depending on which ideas mentioned on the campaign trail are included.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Estimates of Harris\u2019 recently rolled-out tax deduction of up to $50,000 for business startup costs, and a lower top capital gains tax than the one proposed by President&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/topic\/person\/joe-biden\/\">Joe Biden<\/a>&nbsp;are largely not included.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The forecasts include Trump\u2019s proposal to lower the corporate income tax to 15% from 21% but not his latest comments that this rate would be reserved only for companies that produce their goods in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The campaign talking points are moving faster than the budget models,&#8221; said Shai Akabas, economic policy director for the Bipartisan Policy Center. &#8220;I think we&#8217;re largely seeing what we&#8217;ve come to expect in recent years, which is that candidates are going to put their popular policy priorities ahead of fiscal responsibility on both sides.&#8221;<br><br>Congress must approve tax and spending legislation, making it difficult for the winner of the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/elections\/\">Nov. 5 election<\/a>&nbsp;to achieve their priorities without sweeping majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2025 TAX CLIFF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The major differentiator between Trump and Harris is how they address the 2025 expiration of individual tax cuts passed by Republicans during Trump&#8217;s presidency in 2017. Without action by Congress, these rates would snap back to their previous, higher levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has pledged to permanently extend all of the expiring tax cuts, including for the wealthiest Americans, which tax and budget experts estimate would reduce revenues over a decade by about $3.3 trillion to $4 trillion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris would extend the 2017 tax cuts for only those earning under $400,000, keeping a Biden pledge, but this would add up to $2.5 trillion to a spending agenda already estimated at $2 trillion over a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris has quietly endorsed the nearly&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/biden-budget-plan-would-raise-us-taxes-by-4951-trillion-over-decade-treasury-2024-03-11\/\">$5 trillion in tax hikes<\/a>&nbsp;in Biden&#8217;s fiscal 2025 budget request, including taxing unrealized gains from fortunes over $100 billion and raising the corporate tax rate to 28%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This has caused&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/wall-street-worries-harris-tax-plan-would-hurt-us-corporate-profits-2024-09-10\/\">consternation on Wall Street<\/a>&nbsp;but would substantially offset the cost of her spending plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;I think the conclusion that Trump&#8217;s approach to taxes is more debt-fueled is correct,&#8221; said Steve Rosenthal, a senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. &#8220;I say that because Harris at least has some pretty well-developed revenue raisers.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has not offered any conventional tax increases to offset his extended tax cuts. Other breaks, including exempting Social Security income, would reduce revenue by $1.6 trillion, CRFB and the Tax Foundation estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The conservative-leaning Tax Foundation&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/taxfoundation.org\/blog\/trump-social-security-tax\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">called the move, opens new tab<\/a>&nbsp;&#8220;unsound and fiscally irresponsible,&#8221; weakening Social Security and Medicare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has said his tax cuts would be paid for with &#8220;trillions of dollars&#8221; generated by stronger economic growth, new import tariffs, ending Biden&#8217;s clean energy subsidies and a new government efficiency commission headed by billionaire entrepreneur and Tesla&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/companies\/TSLA.O\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(TSLA.O), opens new tab<\/a>&nbsp;CEO Elon Musk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tax Policy Center&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/tpc-trump-tariffs-would-raise-household-taxes-and-slow-imports\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">has estimated, opens new tab<\/a>&nbsp;that Trump&#8217;s proposed 10% global tariff and 60% tariff on Chinese imports could raise up to $3.8 trillion over a decade but would reduce other revenues due to its economic effects, including imposing a de facto tax on households.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tax Foundation was the only model reviewed that included a tariff estimate as an offset &#8212; $2.6 trillion &#8212; but even then, it estimated that Trump&#8217;s plans would boost deficits by nearly $4 trillion over a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reprinted from \u201cReuters\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON, Sept 10 (Reuters) &#8211; Vice President&#038;nb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4602,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[4224,4362,1891],"class_list":["post-4601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-usa","tag-harris","tag-tax","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Harris&#039; and Trump&#039;s tax and spending plans affect US debt - abovecloud<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/abovecloud.xyz\/?p=4601\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Harris&#039; 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